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Renowned trader Peter Brandt, boasting nearly five decades of trading experience since 1975, has recently shared his optimistic forecast for Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025. Through a social media post, Brandt expressed: “Bitcoin $BTC is now in the sweet spot of the bull market halving cycle that should top in the $130k to $150K range next Aug/Sep. I measure cycles differently than most.”
How High Can Bitcoin Go In 2025?
Brandt’s analysis is firmly based on the historical patterns evident in Bitcoin’s halving cycles. His chart, which spans Bitcoin’s price action starting from early 2022 and projects into 2026, emphasizes two critical periods, each lasting 518 days. These periods showcase key phases in Bitcoin’s market behavior, underscoring the cyclical nature of its price dynamics.
Technical Patterns and Market Volatility
A significant technical pattern highlighted in Brandt’s chart is the breakout from a broadening wedge, a formation marked by diverging support and resistance lines. This indicates increasing market volatility, as prices reach progressively higher highs and lower lows. The successful breakout from this pattern is viewed as a robust bullish signal, suggesting a promising future for Bitcoin’s price.
The Symmetry of Halving Events
In a comprehensive blog post from June titled “The Beautiful Symmetry of Past Bitcoin Bull Market Cycles,” Brandt delved deeper into the importance of halving events. He noted that halving dates have historically marked the midpoint of previous bull market cycles, revealing an almost perfect symmetry within these cycles. Specifically, the duration from the start of each bull market to the halving dates nearly matches the timeframe from the halving dates to the subsequent market highs.
The Potential Peak in 2025
Based on this symmetrical pattern, Brandt suggests that if the sequence holds, “the next bull market cycle high should occur in late Aug/early Sep 2025.” He believes that the peaks of past bull markets align well with an inverted parabolic curve. Should this trend continue, “the high of this bull market cycle could be in the $130,000 to $150,000 range.”
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Despite his optimistic outlook, Brandt maintains a degree of caution. He stresses that “no method of analysis is fool-proof” and is careful not to be “dogmatic about any idea.” While he favors this analysis, he acknowledges it is not his sole interpretation. Brandt mentions a 25% probability that Bitcoin’s price has already peaked for this cycle. Should Bitcoin fail to achieve a decisive new all-time high and drop below $55,000, he would increase the likelihood of an “Exponential Decay.”
Community Engagement and Analyst Insights
The crypto community has been actively engaging with Brandt’s insights. Popular crypto analyst Astronomer (@astronomer_zero) responded on social media, concurring with Brandt’s peak estimation and underscoring the importance of accurately identifying the market top. Astronomer commented: “I think you’re spot on with that top estimation Peter! As for calling the bottom, now it is our duty to call the top ideally in one single try. The terminal price does that very well. I have 6 other metrics in place. If they all line up, it is a sell. Location at $160,000.”
Bitcoin to Gold Ratio Considerations
In a further exchange, an online user questioned the implications for the Bitcoin to gold (BTC/GLD) ratio, suggesting it might indicate a significantly higher price. Brandt replied, “Eventually, yes. But let’s take one step at a time without becoming too dogmatic.”
At the time of writing, BTC was trading at $74,940.
