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Bitcoin Sell-Off Likely When This Metric Reaches 4%, Analyst Explains

Sergio Gruber by Sergio Gruber
December 14, 2024
in Crypto, News
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around the significant $100,000 threshold, many investors are contemplating the perfect moment to capitalize on their holdings and exit the market. In this dynamic environment, a comprehensive analysis by CryptoQuant sheds light on a pivotal BTC metric that could be instrumental in devising a successful exit strategy.

Maximizing Bitcoin Profits: Monitor This Crucial Indicator

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In a recent publication on the Quicktake blog, CryptoQuant contributor Onchain Edge shared valuable insights into the optimal timing for selling BTC within the current bullish market. The analysis underscores the significance of the Bitcoin supply in loss metric, which can act as a reliable indicator for investors looking to secure their gains and avoid potential downturns.

Understanding the Supply in Loss Metric

For those new to Bitcoin, the supply in loss metric quantifies the percentage of BTC held at a loss based on its last transaction price. When this percentage is low, it typically signals heightened market euphoria, serving as an alert for investors to consolidate profits before a market correction occurs. According to CryptoQuant’s analysis, when BTC supply in loss falls below 4%, it presents an opportune moment for investors to consider gradually reducing their BTC holdings through dollar-cost averaging (DCA), in anticipation of future market lows. Presently, the BTC supply in loss stands at 8.14%.

What is Dollar-Cost Averaging?

DCA is an investment strategy where investors allocate a consistent amount of capital to an asset at regular intervals, irrespective of its price fluctuations. This approach mitigates market volatility’s impact and reduces the average cost per unit over time. The analyst emphasizes that when the supply in loss metric is below 4%, it indicates a peak bull market phase where many investors are in profit. It’s vital to remain cautious when the market appears overly optimistic.

Experts Foresee Continued Growth in Bitcoin’s Price

Monitoring the BTC supply in loss metric is crucial for protecting profits; however, recent predictions from crypto analysts suggest there may be further potential for growth before this indicator becomes pivotal.

Analyst Predictions and Market Trends

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has observed a classic cup and handle pattern forming on Bitcoin’s weekly chart. This pattern suggests a potential breakout, with price targets as high as $275,000. Additionally, political developments, such as Donald Trump’s victory, have injected renewed optimism into the crypto sector. At the Bitcoin MENA conference in Abu Dhabi, Trump’s former campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, expressed confidence that BTC could exceed $100,000 during the current market cycle.

Other Bullish Projections

Further bullish forecasts abound, with Tom Dunleavy, Chief Investment Officer at MV Global, projecting Bitcoin to reach $250,000, while Ethereum (ETH) might rise to $12,000 within this cycle. As of the latest update, BTC is trading at $100,983, reflecting a modest 0.1% increase over the past 24 hours.

As Bitcoin continues to capture the attention of investors worldwide, understanding and leveraging key metrics can empower investors to make informed decisions. By keeping a close watch on the supply in loss and other market indicators, investors can strategically navigate the ever-evolving crypto landscape.

Tags: BitcoinBitcoin supply lossBTCBTCUSDTBull Marketcryptocryptocurrencydigital currencydonald trump
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Sergio Gruber

Sergio Gruber

Financial writer Hello, my name is Sergio Gruber and I am a finance editor with a specialization in blockchain and cryptocurrency. I have a deep understanding of how the financial world is being transformed by these exciting technologies.I received my degree in Finance Editing from Western Washington University, where I learned how to combine my passion for writing and financial analysis. Since then, I have worked with a number of high-profile publications, helping to educate and inform readers about the latest developments in the world of blockchain and cryptocurrency.

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