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Bitcoin Sentiment Spikes After Mild Price Jump: Crowd Too Excited Too Quickly?

Sergio Gruber by Sergio Gruber
September 13, 2024
in Crypto, News
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Recent data reveals that positive sentiment around Bitcoin has surged on social media platforms after the cryptocurrency’s price climbed above $58,000. This trend suggests that investors might be experiencing FOMO (Fear of Missing Out).

Bitcoin Positive Vs. Negative Sentiment Ratio Has Spiked Recently

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According to data from the analytics firm Santiment, there has been a noticeable burst of optimism regarding Bitcoin. The key metric here is the “Positive Sentiment vs. Negative Sentiment Ratio,” which tracks the balance between positive and negative comments about Bitcoin on social media.

Santiment accumulates posts from platforms like Twitter, Reddit, Telegram, and 4Chan. These posts are then analyzed through a machine-learning model to determine whether they are positive or negative. When the ratio surpasses 1, it indicates that positive comments outnumber negative ones. Conversely, a value below 1 suggests a predominance of negative sentiment.

Below is a chart showing the trend in the Positive Sentiment vs. Negative Sentiment Ratio for Bitcoin and Ethereum over the past few months:

Bitcoin’s Sentiment Surge

The chart highlights a significant spike in positive sentiment for Bitcoin following the recent price recovery. At its peak, the ratio indicated that there were twice as many positive posts as negative ones. This is an unprecedented level for this indicator.

While such optimism suggests that investors are feeling bullish, it also raises concerns. Historically, Bitcoin has often moved contrary to the majority’s expectations, with the likelihood of a reversal increasing as more people become confident in a particular direction.

The current surge in positive sentiment, following only a moderate price increase, suggests that FOMO may be influencing the market prematurely. This could potentially lead to a short-term peak for Bitcoin. Santiment advises looking for signs of FUD (Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt) to gauge when the market might genuinely turn bullish again:

“Look for traders to ‘slow their roll’ and start to express FUD again. When the crowd begins conveying doubt, BTC will truly begin testing its March all-time high market values.”

Ethereum’s Modest Optimism

Interestingly, while Bitcoin is experiencing a surge in positive sentiment, the optimism around Ethereum remains modest. This disparity could potentially benefit Ethereum’s price, as it might avoid the pitfalls of excessive bullish sentiment.

BTC Price

Bitcoin has been struggling to maintain a position above $58,000, and it faced another rejection today, dropping to $57,800.

Overall, the current sentiment trends and price actions suggest a cautious approach for investors. Monitoring social media sentiment and market reactions will be crucial in navigating Bitcoin’s volatile landscape.

Tags: BitcoinBitcoin FOMObitcoin priceBitcoin Price Rallybitcoin sentimentBTCBTCUSDT
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Sergio Gruber

Sergio Gruber

Financial writer Hello, my name is Sergio Gruber and I am a finance editor with a specialization in blockchain and cryptocurrency. I have a deep understanding of how the financial world is being transformed by these exciting technologies.I received my degree in Finance Editing from Western Washington University, where I learned how to combine my passion for writing and financial analysis. Since then, I have worked with a number of high-profile publications, helping to educate and inform readers about the latest developments in the world of blockchain and cryptocurrency.

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