Bitcoin has recently experienced a significant 2.28% rise, climbing from a local low of $55,629 to $58,401. This recovery follows a sharp decline to $52,732, sparking discussions about whether Bitcoin will experience a sustained rally or face another dip. The situation is becoming increasingly intriguing as data from the Coinbase Premium suggests that a major price move could be on the horizon.
Coinbase Premium’s Convergence: A Signal for a Major Move?
One critical indicator that analysts are closely monitoring is the Coinbase Premium, which reflects the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and Binance. According to recent 1-hour chart data, the volatility in the Coinbase Premium has decreased, and both the upper and lower bounds of the price range are converging into a triangular pattern. This pattern is often interpreted as a sign of imminent major price movement.
Historically, during the 2021-2022 bull market, a similar triangular convergence was observed in the Coinbase Premium before Bitcoin surged to new all-time highs. If history is to repeat itself, this narrowing price gap could suggest that the market is finding its fair value, with a decisive upward or downward move likely on the horizon. Large investors appear to be in a standoff, waiting for the next significant shift in Bitcoin’s price.
BTC Still in a Bearish Phase
While Bitcoin’s recent gains are encouraging, it’s important to note that BTC remains in a bearish phase as it continues to trade below the $62,000 price level. Bitcoin’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio has been below its 365-day moving average since August 26, signaling bearish market conditions. Analysts suggest that this bear phase could delay any major rally unless Bitcoin breaks out of this consolidation.
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