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Trump’s Presidential Win Could Ignite Bitcoin Bull Run Hints Prediction Market

Andras Crow-Hreidar by Andras Crow-Hreidar
October 17, 2024
in Crypto, News
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Trump’s Presidential Win Could Ignite Bitcoin Bull Run Hints Prediction Market
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The world of cryptocurrency is buzzing with excitement as Bitcoin experiences a remarkable surge. After last week’s impressive rally, crypto enthusiasts have their eyes set on Bitcoin reaching the all-time highs observed in March. The digital currency saw an 11% increase, propelling its value beyond $67,800. This Bitcoin rally is capturing attention and sparking enthusiasm among investors. Many believe it foreshadows a significant advantage for pro-crypto Republican candidate Donald Trump in the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

Trump vs. Harris: The Pivotal Role of Cryptocurrency in the Election

As the electoral contest between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris intensifies, cryptocurrency is emerging as a critical issue. Trump has fervently pledged to position the U.S. as a global leader in the crypto sphere, transforming Bitcoin into a “Trump trade.” This strategy encourages investors to speculate on his potential return to the White House. His unwavering support for digital assets aligns seamlessly with the bullish Bitcoin trend and the increasing activity in prediction markets, where bets on election outcomes are gaining traction.

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On platforms like Polymarket, Trump’s odds have soared to 59.7%, while Harris lags at 40%. Similarly, PredictIt showcases Trump with a slight advantage at 54%. This investor optimism resonates with Bitcoin’s rising price, reflecting a growing belief in a Trump victory. Harris, however, presents a more balanced approach, promising to support crypto growth while ensuring regulatory safety. This stands in contrast to the current administration’s more restrictive stance, eliciting cautious optimism among certain crypto enthusiasts.

ETF Inflows Fueling the Rally

The excitement surrounding the election isn’t the only factor driving Bitcoin’s recent rally. Arisa Toyosaki, co-founder of Cega, a crypto derivatives service, points to the role of prediction markets in contributing to Bitcoin’s price volatility. Additionally, substantial inflows into U.S. Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have significantly bolstered this momentum. Since October 11, net inflows have surpassed $700 million. As of Thursday, Bitcoin’s price has stabilized around $67,260.

Despite the positive trend in prediction markets, polling data remains tight, with Harris maintaining a slim lead over Trump by 1.6 percentage points in national polls. However, Trump exhibits a slight edge in critical battleground states, adding further intrigue to this intensely competitive race.

In conclusion, the intersection of the Bitcoin rally and the U.S. presidential election is creating a fascinating dynamic in both the political and financial realms. As the election approaches, the role of cryptocurrency in shaping the future of the nation remains a topic of great interest and debate.

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Andras Crow-Hreidar

Andras Crow-Hreidar

Hi there, my name is András and I'm a business and finance journalist living in Norway. My passion lies in uncovering the latest stories in the world of finance and delivering them to my readers in a way that's clear and engaging. I cover a wide range of topics in the finance world, including cryptocurrencies, which I believe have the potential to transform the way we interact with money and financial systems.As a journalist, I'm committed to providing my readers with accurate and reliable reporting. I believe that access to high-quality information is essential for making informed decisions, whether it's about personal finances or investments. When I'm not writing about finance, I enjoy a variety of hobbies and interests.

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